Extension card · Fuzzy
Fuzzy PSI
Fuzzy PSI is the form of PSI used when criterion scores are given as triangular fuzzy numbers. It derives the weight itself, and its output is a preference selection score.
Base method
PSI →
Philosophy, mechanics, strengths and weaknesses are on the base method card; this card describes only the difference.
Data type (family)
Fuzzy →
What this data type is, when to use it, how to write it in a cell: the family's full account is here.
What Changes from the Base Method?
Three things change. The logic of deriving the weight itself does not.
Cells. In crisp PSI every cell is a single number. Here every cell carries three numbers: lowest, most likely, highest. If an expert gives a verbal score ("high", "medium-high"), a pre-declared scale converts that word into a triangle. PSI does not require a weight; neither does this form — even if an external triangular weight is entered, DecisionMind's engine does not use it. It still derives the weight from the data itself, at the third step below. The base PSI rule, "no weight required, it produces its own", carries over unchanged into the fuzzy version; only the input's three-component structure changes.
Scale equalisation. Crisp PSI divides every column by its own best value. Here, the three components of every triangle are first scaled together by the same rule. On a benefit criterion, each is divided by the column's largest upper value. On a cost criterion, the column's smallest lower value is divided into the triangle's components with the order reversed, so that the scaled triangle also preserves the lowest-most likely-highest order. Then the three components of this scaled triangle are averaged and reduced to a single crisp number. This is a different order from fuzzy TOPSIS. There, defuzzification comes right at the end, after the closeness score has been computed. Here, defuzzification happens very early, finishing before the weight has even been derived. PSI's own weight-derivation step is already built to work on a crisp number. This is why DecisionMind consumes the fuzziness immediately after scale equalisation.
Preference variation value and weight. Everything after this step is identical to crisp PSI. In the defuzzified column, the sum of squared deviations from the mean is taken. This spread is subtracted from 1 and turned into a weight. The preference selection index is computed with this weight. The fuzziness no longer appears as a triangle; it leaves a trace only in the form of "how the fuzziness of the input affected the normalisation".
DecisionMind holds fixed, in this Fuzzy PSI, the scale equalisation and the centroid defuzzification that follows immediately after it. The TFN's three components are scaled together, by the same rule.
How to Read the Output
The preference selection score, as in crisp PSI, is only a ranking tool among the alternatives in this table. It is not a percentage or a probability. The difference lies in the score's magnitude range. In crisp PSI, weights are normalised to sum to 1 and multiplied into the score, so the score stays roughly between 0 and 1. In the fuzzy version, the score can visibly exceed 1, because the raw value produced by the weight-derivation step enters the score without being normalised. This does not disturb the ranking among alternatives. But it makes reading the score as "86 per cent good" even more meaningless.
So instead of:
"The Fuzzy PSI score is 2.53, this alternative is nearly perfect"
the report should read:
"A2's score is 2.53, the highest among these three alternatives. What should be read is not the magnitude of the score, but its gap to the other alternatives and whether that gap closes with a small change"
When to Prefer This over the Base Method
If you do not want to give the criteria a justified weight, that is PSI's basic condition. If the criterion scores you have are also not measured, but come from expert judgement or approximate estimation, Fuzzy PSI is appropriate. Opening a measured value into a triangle "to look more cautious" is wrong here too; the rule on the fuzzy data-type card applies just the same. The matrix must be a single type. If one criterion is triangular fuzzy and another is crisp, the crisp one's three components are written as the same number and entered into the matrix with a width of zero.
If the decision-maker's known priority is to be reflected in the criteria, that is, if a subjective weight is wanted, the exit condition on the base PSI card applies just the same. The same condition applies if no compromise is acceptable on a criterion. In that case you should prefer a subjective weighting method such as AHP, BWM or SWARA, or a screen-first-then-rank approach.
Mistakes Specific to This Extension
Breaking the triangle's l ≤ m ≤ u order. Scale equalisation on a cost criterion is done by reversing the order. If this step is skipped or applied incorrectly, the triangle falls into an undefined shape with l greater than u. The engine is expected to stop fail-closed.
Changing the defuzzification method and comparing the result. The centroid, that is, the average of the three components, is not the only standard. Placing a score produced with a different defuzzification rule (for example, taking only the most-likely value) side by side with this card's score is wrong.
Assuming the score is a ratio between 0 and 1. As explained above, this score can exceed 1. Using the language of "percentage" or "ratio" is misleading.
Entering an external weight and assuming the method uses it. PSI derives the weight from the data. Even if a weight is entered, it does not affect the ranking. If the weight needs to reflect the decision-maker's priority, PSI is already the wrong tool.
The governing principle is this:
In Fuzzy PSI, uncertainty is carried only up to the scale-equalisation step. Weight derivation and scoring then work, exactly as in crisp PSI, on a single defuzzified number.
Cases
The first case is DecisionMind's validation example. These numbers do not come from a literature table; this card's author has independently rerun the engine's formulas in Python. The second case is an illustrative fiction.
1. Illustrative example: Three alternatives, three criteria (DecisionMind's validation example)
Three alternatives are evaluated on three criteria with triangular fuzzy scores. The first two criteria are "more is better", the third is "less is better". The weight column is not used by the engine; PSI derives the weight itself.
| Alternative | C1 | C2 | C3 (cost) |
|---|---|---|---|
| A1 | (0.65; 0.70; 0.75) | (0.45; 0.50; 0.55) | (0.55; 0.60; 0.65) |
| A2 | (0.75; 0.80; 0.85) | (0.55; 0.60; 0.65) | (0.35; 0.40; 0.45) |
| A3 | (0.55; 0.60; 0.65) | (0.65; 0.70; 0.75) | (0.45; 0.50; 0.55) |
| Direction | more is better | more is better | less is better |
The method scales every triangle by its own rule. It reduces the scaled triangle to a single number by the centroid. It then derives PSI's own weight from these numbers and computes the preference selection score.
| Alternative | Preference selection score | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| A2 | 2.531 | 1 |
| A3 | 2.259 | 2 |
| A1 | 2.003 | 3 |
The result reads as follows. A2 is first because it holds the highest triangle on C1 and the lowest triangle on C3, that is, on cost. PSI finds a large gap between alternatives on these two criteria and gives both a relatively high weight. A1 is last because it is not at the best end on any criterion.
The board's hesitation is this. Most of A2's advantage comes from its clear edge on C3, that is, on cost. If A2's C3 triangle is raised to the same level as A3's, that is, to (0.55; 0.60; 0.65), completely removing the cost advantage, the score order changes. A3, with 2.478 points, moves ahead of A2's 2.428 points. This shows that A2's first place rests on a marked gap on a single criterion. Once that gap closes, the ranking reverses.
In the report: "Preference selection scores have been derived with PSI, without an externally supplied weight, directly from the value differences among the three alternatives. A2, with 2.531 points, is first, thanks in particular to its marked advantage on the cost criterion. When that advantage closes, the ranking changes in A3's favour."
Source: This example is DecisionMind's validation example for the Fuzzy PSI engine. It is not a case from a paper. The engine's F.steps formulas have been independently recomputed in Python by this card's author.
2. Aviation: A regional airline's choice of aircraft type for a new domestic route
A regional airline will choose among three aircraft types for a new domestic route it is opening. Criteria: fuel efficiency per seat, cabin comfort score, and maintenance cost. Maintenance cost is a "less is better" criterion. The fleet-planning team has neither sufficient flight data nor a clear priority ranking from senior management with which to give the criteria a justified weight. It has therefore decided to derive the weights directly from the gap among the three bids. Fuel-efficiency and comfort scores have been converted into triangles from field engineers' verbal assessments such as "high" and "medium-high".
The method scales the three bids, defuzzifies them, and derives weights according to the spread of the criteria. Suppose the three aircraft types came out close to one another on maintenance cost, while there was a marked gap on cabin comfort. PSI, in that case, gave a relatively high weight to comfort and a relatively low weight to maintenance cost, and placed the most comfortable type first.
The planning team's hesitation is this. Maintenance cost receiving a low weight does not mean the company considers maintenance spending unimportant. It shows that the three bids are already close to one another on this criterion. The team should not finalise its decision without separately checking whether the ranking would change if one of the verbal comfort scores were pulled down by one term.
In the report: "Criterion weights have been derived with Fuzzy PSI directly from the value differences among the three aircraft bids. The relatively high weight of cabin comfort comes from the largest gap among the bids being found on this criterion. It does not mean the company considers maintenance cost unimportant."
3. What Not to Do
Turning the illustrative example's preference selection score into a percentage such as "A2 is 253 per cent better" is wrong. The score is not a ratio; it only ranks these three alternatives against one another. The second error is ignoring A2's marked advantage on C3, that is, cost, and reporting only the total score. As shown above, this advantage closing turns the ranking in A3's favour. The third error is entering a weight triangle into the engine and writing in the report "the criteria were given these weights". PSI does not use this input; it derives the weight itself.
Sources
For the formulas behind each step, the intermediate tables and citation formats, see the DecisionMind method page: decisionmind.app/library/fuzzy-psi
Maniya, K., & Bhatt, M. G. (2010). A selection of material using a novel type decision-making method: Preference selection index method. Materials & Design, 31(4), 1785–1789. DOI: 10.1016/j.matdes.2009.11.020
Zadeh, L. A. (1965). Fuzzy sets. Information and Control, 8(3), 338–353. DOI: 10.1016/S0019-9958(65)90241-X
Chen, C.-T. (2000). Extensions of the TOPSIS for group decision-making under fuzzy environment. Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 114(1), 1–9. DOI: 10.1016/S0165-0114(97)00377-1