Extension card · Hesitant
Hesitant Fuzzy ELECTRE I (Chen, Xu and Xia, 2015)
This is the form of ELECTRE I for situations where performance scores are given as hesitant fuzzy sets, holding several plausible values together rather than one. These values are compared without first collapsing them to an average; the output remains a core set together with outranking relations.
Base method
ELECTRE →
Philosophy, mechanics, strengths and weaknesses are on the base method card; this card describes only the difference.
Data type (family)
Hesitant →
What this data type is, when to use it, how to write it in a cell: the family's full account is here.
What Changes from the Base Method?
Four things change; the logic of building the concordance set and extracting the core set does not.
Cells. In crisp ELECTRE I every cell is a single number. Here every cell becomes a set (a hesitant fuzzy element, HFE) in which several plausible membership degrees for the same judgement are held together. Three values such as "0.4, 0.6, 0.7" all count as valid; none is collapsed into a single average. Two alternatives' HFEs on the same criterion can differ in length; when they are compared, the shorter set is padded with additional elements. This method uses the pessimistic rule here: the missing elements are filled by repeating the set's own smallest value. Weights remain crisp numbers; the method does not generate weights, it takes them from outside.
Score and consistency instead of scale equalisation. In crisp ELECTRE I, columns are equalised by dividing through by their magnitude. There is no normalisation of this kind here; instead, two numbers are extracted from every HFE: a score (the mean of the values in the set) and a deviation (the set's own standard deviation, a measure of how "consistent" the judgement is). Whether one alternative counts as superior to another on a given criterion is decided by looking at both a higher score and a lower deviation, that is, a more consistent judgement.
Concordance and discordance. In crisp ELECTRE I, the concordance set asks only "which alternative scores better." Here four separate sets are built: the criteria where one alternative is superior to another on both score and consistency, the criteria where it is superior on score alone, the criteria where it trails on score but is more consistent, and the criteria where it genuinely trails. The concordance index is the weighted sum of these sets' weights, weighted in turn by the relative importance the user assigns to "strong" and "weak" concordance. The discordance index is the ratio of the worst inconsistency among the trailing criteria to the largest inconsistency across all criteria; this uses a distance measure between HFEs, the hesitant distance defined by Chen, Xu and Xia.
The form of the thresholds and defuzzification. In crisp ELECTRE I, the concordance threshold (c̄) and the discordance threshold (d̄) are chosen by the analyst. Here, as in the family's classical Fuzzy ELECTRE I member, C̄ and D̄ are not chosen by the analyst either; they derive from the mean of the concordance and discordance values across all pairwise comparisons. What DecisionMind fixes in this extension is that score and consistency (deviation) are carried together at every step and never collapsed early into a single "mean membership" number; the core set is built on this paired structure.
How to Read the Output
What stays the same as in the base method is this: the output is not a ranking but a list of alternatives that no other alternative outranks (the "core set").
The difference is this: whether an alternative stays in the core set depends not only on its average performance but also on how consistent that performance is. Even when two alternatives share the same average score, an outranking can emerge in favour of whichever judgement is less scattered, that is, more consistent. The report should therefore state not only the scores but also which alternative was judged more consistently on which criterion.
Thus instead of writing:
"HF-ELECTRE I found A1 to be the best"
the report should read:
"On two of the three criteria, A1 outranks the other candidates through both a higher score and a more consistent judgement; this outranking rests not only on the average score but also on the consistency of the judgement"
When to Prefer This over the Base Method
Use this extension when a performance judgement is made up of several plausible values that need to be preserved rather than collapsed into an early average. This can be one expert's own hesitation, or it can be several assessors' opinions carried separately; the method naturally supports a group decision. If a performance has actually been measured, opening it out into a hesitant set does not model uncertainty, it manufactures it; DecisionMind asks for a single data type, and a measured cell is written as the set's sole element.
Crisp ELECTRE I's exit condition applies here too: this method is suitable when a core set is enough, rather than a full ranking. If a complete ranking is required, the family's other member for this data type, Hesitant ELECTRE II, should be considered instead.
Mistakes Specific to This Extension
Confusing the pessimistic and optimistic length-equalisation rules. This method extends a short HFE by repeating its own smallest value (the pessimistic rule). The family's Hesitant ELECTRE II member uses the rule that repeats the largest value (the optimistic rule) instead. Confusing the two can make the alternative with the shorter set look better or worse than it is.
Assuming the thresholds (C̄, D̄) are fixed numbers chosen by the analyst. They are the data's own mean, a feature this method shares with the family's classical Fuzzy ELECTRE I member. Writing a sentence such as "the threshold was fixed at this value" in the report is wrong.
Ignoring the deviation (consistency) and looking only at the score. The concordance and discordance sets are built by looking at both score and deviation. Comparing scores alone loses the information that, even when two alternatives share the same average, one may have been judged far less consistently than the other.
The governing principle is this:
In Hesitant ELECTRE I, an alternative's outranking rests on both its average performance and the consistency of that performance; the thresholds here are not chosen, they derive from the data itself.
Cases
The first case is illustrative: because the PDF of Chen, Xu and Xia's (2015) paper is not accessible, the manifest uses a closed-form validation example based on the textbook chapter by Xu (2014) that describes the same method. The second case is fictional.
1. Human resources: Evaluating three managerial candidates with several interview panellists' opinions (illustrative validation example)
A firm is evaluating three managerial candidates (A1, A2, A3) on three criteria: leadership score, analytical competence score and communication score; all three are "higher is better." The interview panel scored every candidate on every criterion with several plausible values rather than one, and these values were gathered as hesitant sets. The criterion weights are 0.4, 0.3 and 0.3; the relative importance given to strong versus weak concordance is 0.6/0.4, and likewise 0.6/0.4 for discordance.
| Candidate | Leadership | Analytical competence | Communication |
|---|---|---|---|
| A1 | {0.4; 0.6; 0.7} | {0.5; 0.6} | {0.7; 0.8; 0.9} |
| A2 | {0.3; 0.5} | {0.6; 0.7; 0.8} | {0.4; 0.5; 0.6} |
| A3 | {0.5; 0.7} | {0.4; 0.5; 0.6} | {0.3; 0.6} |
| Weight | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
The method extracts a score (mean) and a deviation (consistency) from every HFE, builds the four sets (strong/weak concordance, strong/weak discordance), and computes the weighted concordance index and the normalised discordance index. The mean concordance threshold c̄ = 0.257 and the mean discordance threshold d̄ = 0.382 derive from the mean of these pairwise comparisons themselves.
| Candidate | In the core set? |
|---|---|
| A1 | Yes |
| A2 | No |
| A3 | No |
The result reads as follows. On both the leadership and communication criteria, A1 was judged with both a higher score and a more consistent evaluation than the other two candidates. A2 and A3 are outranked by A1; A1 is outranked by neither. A1's communication set, {0.7; 0.8; 0.9}, is both high and narrow (consistent), which makes it the strongest source of this outranking.
The firm's hesitation is this: what would happen if one panel member's view changed and A1's communication score became a much lower set such as {0.3; 0.4; 0.5}? Running the same calculation independently again removes A1 from the core set entirely, and A2 becomes the sole candidate that outranks both A1 and A3. A1's outranking in the original result rests to a large extent on this single set in the communication criterion.
In the report: "A1 remains alone in the core set through its high and consistent evaluation on the leadership and communication criteria. This result is sensitive to the evaluation on the communication criterion; a marked drop there removes A1's outranking altogether."
Source: DecisionMind's own validation example, based on the formulas for Chen, Xu and Xia's (2015) method as given in Xu's (2014) textbook chapter (4.2.4(1)). Because the paper's PDF is not accessible, the numerical example was constructed independently from these formulas rather than from the paper itself. The score, deviation, concordance/discordance matrices and sensitivity scenario were computed by this card's author by running the DecisionMind engine independently; the baseline result matches the manifest's own validation record exactly.
2. Museum curation: A museum evaluating three acquisition proposals with several curators' opinions
A museum is evaluating three acquisition proposals for its collection. There are three criteria: the artwork's art-historical significance, its state of conservation, and its suitability for display; all three are "higher is better." Three curators scored each proposal on each criterion separately, and these scores were gathered as hesitant sets without being collapsed into a single average.
The method extracts a score and a deviation for every criterion, builds the four concordance/discordance sets, and derives the thresholds from the data's own mean. Suppose the result shows that a proposal scoring both high and consistent on art-historical significance outranks the other two, while the remaining two proposals fail to outrank one another.
The museum's hesitation is this. One curator gave a markedly more pessimistic score than the other two on the conservation criterion. Had that score been drawn closer to the middle of the panel's range, the proposal's deviation would shrink and its consistency would rise; this could bring one of the outranked proposals into the core set. The source of this disagreement among curators should be stated in the report.
In the report: "The proposal scoring both high and consistent on art-historical significance remains alone in the core set; this result is sensitive to the wide disagreement among curators on the conservation criterion."
3. What Not to Do
The first mistake is collapsing the hesitant sets in the managerial-candidate table into single numbers by averaging from the outset (reducing A1's communication score to a single value such as 0.8) and running crisp ELECTRE I on that; this erases the information about which candidate was judged more consistently on which criterion and can produce a different concordance set. The second mistake is confusing this method's pessimistic length-equalisation rule (repeating the smallest value) with another family member's optimistic rule. The third mistake is reporting the thresholds (c̄, d̄) as if they were fixed numbers chosen by the analyst; they are the data's own mean, and they change as the data changes.
Sources
For the formulas behind each step, the intermediate tables and citation formats, see the DecisionMind method page: decisionmind.app/library/hf-electre-i
Chen, N., Xu, Z. S., & Xia, M. M. (2015). The ELECTRE I multi-criteria decision-making method based on hesitant fuzzy sets. International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making, 14(3), 621–657. DOI: 10.1142/S0219622014500187
Liao, H., & Xu, Z. (2017). Hesitant Fuzzy Decision Making Methodologies and Applications. Uncertainty and Operations Research, Springer Singapore. DOI: 10.1007/978-981-10-3265-3
Torra, V. (2010). Hesitant fuzzy sets. International Journal of Intelligent Systems, 25(6), 529–539. DOI: 10.1002/int.20418
Roy, B. (1968). Classement et choix en présence de points de vue multiples (la méthode ELECTRE). Revue Française d'Informatique et de Recherche Opérationnelle, 2(8), 57–75. DOI: 10.1051/ro/196802v100571
Roy, B. (1991). The outranking approach and the foundations of ELECTRE methods. Theory and Decision, 31(1), 49–73. DOI: 10.1007/BF00134132