Extension card · Fuzzy
Fuzzy ARAS (Turskis and Zavadskas, 2010)
Fuzzy ARAS is the form of ARAS used where criterion scores are given as triangular fuzzy numbers coming from a judgement or an estimate. It computes the additive utility ratio over the triangles, and ranks the result by a single defuzzified utility degree.
Base method
ARAS →
Philosophy, mechanics, strengths and weaknesses are on the base method card; this card describes only the difference.
Data type (family)
Fuzzy →
What this data type is, when to use it, how to write it in a cell: the family's full account is here.
What Changes from the Base Method?
Four things change; the decision logic does not.
Cells. In crisp ARAS every cell is a single, strictly positive number. Here every cell consists of three positive numbers: the lowest, most likely and highest value, a triangular fuzzy number. Weights, too, can be given as triangles. Where a crisp weight is supplied, DecisionMind embeds it in a triangle whose three components are identical (w; w; w). This is not an approximation; it is a neutral way of fitting a crisp number into the fuzzy matrix, and it adds no width. The method does not combine group decisions on its own; where multiple experts' triangles exist, combining them into a single matrix is a step taken before the analysis.
Scale equalisation. Crisp ARAS first builds the optimal alternative (the best value on every criterion), reverses cost criteria, then divides every column by its own sum. The same two steps are applied here to the triangles, separately at each corner. On a cost criterion, every triangle (lowest; most likely; highest) is reversed to (1/highest; 1/most likely; 1/lowest) once inverted. The triangle's ordered structure is preserved this way. Every column, including the optimal-alternative row, is then divided by its own triangle sum. The optimal alternative's score thus remains a single reference, but it is now a triangle.
Distance/score/aggregation. ARAS has no distance to two reference points; it is a direct weighted sum. The same holds here, except the summation is carried out on the triangles, separately at each corner. Every equalised triangle is multiplied, corner by corner, by the criterion's weight (triangular or crisp). Every row's triangles, including the optimal alternative's, are then summed, corner by corner, across the criteria. This produces a single triangular "optimality score" for every row.
Result and defuzzification. Every row's triangle sum is reduced to a single number by averaging its three corners, the centre of area. This is defuzzification, and it is carried out only at this final step. The utility degree K carries the same meaning as in crisp ARAS: the ratio of the real alternative's defuzzified score to the optimal alternative's defuzzified score. The output is again a single number and a rank. Uncertainty is carried through the calculation right up to the final step, and reduced to a single number only at the end.
DecisionMind fixes the centre-of-area defuzzification and the corner-by-corner additive aggregation. Triangles are never ranked directly at any stage; ranking is done only on the defuzzified K.
How to Read the Output
The utility degree K carries the same meaning here. The best alternative is taken as 100, and the others receive a percentage relative to it; this percentage is valid only for this set of alternatives and these weights. The difference lies here: although K appears as a single number, a three-cornered uncertainty lies beneath it. Because this uncertainty is reduced to a single number at the final step, it does not show in the report. Two alternatives' K gap can easily swap places if the input triangles are wide. The report should therefore show not only the K values but also whether the ranking holds once the weight distribution changes.
Thus instead of writing:
"According to Fuzzy ARAS, A3 is the best alternative"
the report should read:
"Relative to the optimal alternative derived from this alternative set, A3 has the highest utility degree (K=0.892); had the weights been distributed equally across the four criteria, this lead would pass to A2, so the justification for the given weight distribution must be shown separately in the report"
When to Prefer This over the Base Method
This extension is preferable where criterion values come from an expert's judgement or an estimate, and reducing that judgement to a single number would create an artificial precision. Examples: an estimate of investment return, criteria scored verbally such as a supplier's "service quality," and situations where multiple experts' numerical opinions need to be combined.
Opening a measured criterion (price, distance, capacity) into a triangle afterwards manufactures uncertainty rather than modelling it. DecisionMind requires a single data type; where the table is mixed, the measured criterion is also written as a triangle, with its three components equal. No information is added, only conformity to the format. Crisp ARAS's own exit condition applies just the same. If no compromise is acceptable on one criterion, this extension too is fully compensatory and will not eliminate anything below a threshold.
Mistakes Specific to This Extension
Breaking the triangle's order. Every cell must satisfy lowest ≤ most likely ≤ highest, and all components must be positive. The reversal operation on a cost criterion preserves this order automatically. But if the input triangle is already malformed (the most likely value entered larger than the highest, say), the result becomes silently meaningless.
Changing the defuzzification method without saying so. The centre of area ((lowest + most likely + highest) / 3) is the canonical choice but not the only one. A different defuzzification rule can change the ranking. Which rule was used must be stated in the report.
Defuzzifying first and then running crisp ARAS. In the illustrative example below, this route also puts A3 first (K=0.921), but it conceals the gap in second place. In the real fuzzy calculation, A4 (0.851) clearly overtakes A2 (0.844). But in the table defuzzified first, A2 (0.894) and A4 (0.894) become almost indistinguishable. Once the uncertainty is erased at the first step, a genuine difference buried in the middle of the calculation is lost.
Giving crisp weights and fuzzy cells without stating it. The method embeds a crisp weight as (w; w; w). This is legitimate, but the report must state that "the weights are crisp, the criterion values are fuzzy." Otherwise the reader may assume the weights, too, came from an expert judgement.
The governing principle is this:
Fuzzy ARAS exists to carry the approximation in criterion evaluation through to the ratio against the optimal alternative; any application that defuzzifies early, or does not state which defuzzification was used, conceals the method's one genuine contribution.
Cases
The first case is the real example from Turskis and Zavadskas's (2010) founding paper. Because the paper's own tables carry documented typographical errors, DecisionMind takes as its basis not the paper's own values but the result of independently rerunning the same algorithm, and states this openly. The second case is an illustrative construction.
1. Logistics: Choosing a site among four candidate logistics centres (Turskis and Zavadskas, 2010)
Turskis and Zavadskas's (2010) paper introduces Fuzzy ARAS through an example that chooses the site for a logistics centre among four candidates. There are four criteria: investment cost (less is better), operating duration (more is better), expansion potential (more is better), and distance to the demand centre (less is better). Experts have given every candidate-criterion cell as a triangular fuzzy number, and the weights as triangles too. The paper also reports a single crisp weight (the β value) for every criterion.
| Candidate | Investment cost | Operating duration | Expansion potential | Distance to demand centre |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A1 | (15, 17, 20) | (20, 26.1, 35) | (15, 24.7, 35) | (11, 14.4, 19) |
| A2 | (9, 11, 14) | (15, 28.6, 45) | (15, 24.8, 35) | (7, 10.2, 15) |
| A3 | (15, 18.6, 21) | (25, 32.1, 45) | (20, 29.1, 33) | (6, 9, 12.5) |
| A4 | (17, 21.1, 25) | (20, 32.1, 40) | (15, 26.7, 40) | (5, 8.2, 13) |
| Direction | less is better | more is better | more is better | less is better |
| Weight | 0.137 | 0.203 | 0.343 | 0.210 |
The method first builds a row for the optimal candidate, carrying the best triangle on every criterion, reverses the cost criteria, and ratios every column against its own triangle sum. It then multiplies these values by the weights, sums every row's triangle (the four candidates and the optimal candidate), and finally divides the defuzzified scores by the optimal candidate's score.
| Candidate | Utility degree (K) | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| A3 | 0.892 | 1 |
| A4 | 0.851 | 2 |
| A2 | 0.844 | 3 |
| A1 | 0.723 | 4 |
The result reads as follows. A3 is best on no single criterion, but it is strong on expansion potential, the heaviest criterion at a weight of 0.343, and holds the shortest distance to the demand centre. This combination carries it to first place. A1 does not have the lowest investment cost, and is also among the slowest candidates on operating duration; this is why it finishes fourth. A2, despite holding the lowest investment cost, does not stand out on expansion potential or distance to demand, and so stays in third place.
The board's hesitation is this. Had the four criteria been given equal weight (0.25 each), computed by running the same algorithm independently in Python, the utility degrees would come out at 0.862 for A2, 0.858 for A3, 0.816 for A4 and 0.702 for A1, and A2 and A3 would swap places. The lead depends on the high weight given to expansion potential, the heaviest criterion. The board must defend in the report why it chose this weight distribution.
In the report: "With the given weights, A3 has the highest utility degree relative to the optimal candidate (K=0.892); once the weights are distributed equally across the four criteria, A2 moves ahead (0.862 against 0.858), so the 0.343 weight given to expansion potential must be separately justified."
Source: Turskis, Z. and Zavadskas, E. K. (2010), Transport journal, 25(4), Table 3 (input) and Equations (17)-(24) (algorithm). Because the paper's own tables (4-6) carry documented typographical errors (an absolute tolerance of ±0.02 is defined between the source paper and the DecisionMind engine), the utility degrees above are not the figures given in the paper's text but the result of this card's author independently recomputing the same algorithm in Python; the ranking (A3 > A4 > A2 > A1) matches the paper's own ranking.
2. Education: A university's choice of distance-learning platform
A university will choose a distance-learning platform for its undergraduate programmes from among three candidates. There are four criteria: ease of use, flexibility of content integration, quality of technical support, and licence cost (the last, less is better). Ease of use and quality of technical support have no measurable unit; these are criteria based on the verbal judgement of faculty members and the IT department. The university has converted these into triangles and scored them on a seven-term scale. Because licence cost is a crisp number, it has been written into the matrix as a triangle with all three components equal. The university has given the highest weight to content integration.
The method compares the three platforms: it builds the optimal, that is, hypothetical best, platform, reverses and equalises the cost column, multiplies by the weights, defuzzifies and computes the utility degrees. Suppose the platform with the highest content-integration score is also the most expensive, and still comes first, because the weight on content integration exceeds that on cost. The cheapest platform finishes third, because it is found weak on technical support.
The university's hesitation is this. If the faculty's "good" and "very good" scores are each pulled down by one term, plausible if there is no full agreement on the scale, the gap between the first- and second-place platforms could narrow. The university should therefore not commit to a multi-year licence without first updating the scores with real usage data from the pilot term, such as student completion rates.
In the report: "With the highest weight given to content integration, the first platform stands out; the fact that this platform also carries the highest licence cost shows that its lead comes from the integration weight rather than from cost, and this should be reassessed with data from the pilot term."
3. What Not to Do
The first error is reducing the four triangles in the logistics-centre example to a single number from the outset by the centre of area, and then running crisp ARAS. In that case A3 again comes first (K=0.921), but the genuine gap between A2 (0.894) and A4 (0.894), in the fuzzy calculation A4 leads clearly, 0.851 against 0.844, is lost, and the two candidates appear artificially tied. A second error is converting the term "good" into (7, 9, 10) for one expert and (6, 8, 10) for another; the scale is single and applied identically to every expert. A third error is opening a measured number such as licence cost into a symmetric triangle "just to be cautious"; a measured value stays a triangle with all three components equal.
Sources
For the formulas behind each step, the intermediate tables and citation formats, see the DecisionMind method page: decisionmind.app/library/fuzzy-aras
Turskis, Z., & Zavadskas, E. K. (2010). A new fuzzy additive ratio assessment method (ARAS–F). Case study: the analysis of fuzzy multiple criteria in order to select the logistic centers location. Transport, 25(4), 423–432. DOI: 10.3846/transport.2010.52
Zavadskas, E. K., & Turskis, Z. (2010). A new additive ratio assessment (ARAS) method in multicriteria decision-making. Technological and Economic Development of Economy, 16(2), 159–172. DOI: 10.3846/tede.2010.10
Zadeh, L. A. (1965). Fuzzy sets. Information and Control, 8(3), 338–353. DOI: 10.1016/S0019-9958(65)90241-X
Chen, C.-T. (2000). Extensions of the TOPSIS for group decision-making under fuzzy environment. Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 114(1), 1–9. DOI: 10.1016/S0165-0114(97)00377-1