Extension card · Grey
Grey EDAS (Stanujkic, Zavadskas, Keshavarz Ghorabaee & Turskis, 2017)
This is the form of EDAS that works with grey interval numbers. Criterion values are used here only when they are known by a lower and upper bound alone; the positive and negative distance from the set's average is computed across both ends of the interval, and the result is ranked by a single appraisal score.
Base method
EDAS →
Philosophy, mechanics, strengths and weaknesses are on the base method card; this card describes only the difference.
Data type (family)
Grey →
What this data type is, when to use it, how to write it in a cell: the family's full account is here.
What Changes from the Base Method?
Three things change; the decision logic does not.
Cells. In crisp EDAS every cell is a single number. Here every cell is two numbers: a lower bound and an upper bound. The method does not additionally fix a most-likely value within the bounds. Criterion weights remain crisp (single numbers); the method does not generate weights, it takes them from outside.
Average solution and deviations. In crisp EDAS the average solution is the single-number average of each column, and the positive and negative deviation is measured against this single number. Here the average is built as a grey interval, from the separate averages of the column's lower bounds and of its upper bounds. The deviation, too, is not measured by a single difference but by four comparisons. The method tests an alternative's lower bound against the average's upper bound, and its upper bound against the average's lower bound; the reverse comparison is made the same way. This "cross" comparison exists so that, with only bound information available, the most pessimistic and the most optimistic case are taken into account together. In crisp EDAS, because there is only a single value, no such cross comparison is needed.
Result and defuzzification. The weighted sums also run as a lower and an upper bound (as a grey interval); once normalised, four numbers remain for each alternative: positive lower, positive upper, negative lower, negative upper. The appraisal score is the simple average of these four. DecisionMind holds the equal-weighted average of the four bounds fixed in this extension, as defined by Stanujkic et al. (2017). Crisp EDAS already produces a single number and so needs no defuzzification; here defuzzification happens only at the last step, by averaging the four bounds.
How to Read the Output
The output is an appraisal score and a ranking, as in crisp EDAS, and it is read the same way: the score is not a percentage or a probability, it is a position relative to the set's own average, and it cannot be compared with a different analysis.
But beneath the score lie four separate bounds (positive lower/upper, negative lower/upper), and the final average conceals this. If the score difference between two alternatives is small, it is worth looking at how close these four bounds are to one another. If the bounds are spread wide apart, that is, if the lower and upper differ greatly, a small score difference can be meaningless next to the size of the uncertainty in the data.
Thus instead of writing:
"Grey-EDAS is more reliable because it accounts for uncertainty"
the report should read:
"Because criterion values are known only by a lower and upper bound, uncertainty has been carried separately in four bounds and averaged at the end; A5 leads at 0.615, and this gap may narrow or close if a criterion's weight changes"
When to Prefer This over the Base Method
Use this when only a lower and an upper bound are known about the criteria, and there is no most-likely value or distribution within those bounds. If a single measured value exists, crisp EDAS is sufficient; fitting bounds around a measured number is not modelling uncertainty, it is manufacturing it. If a known most-likely value exists within the bounds (not merely the bounds), the fuzzy extension carries more information and is preferred. If the table is mixed, DecisionMind requires a single data type; a measured criterion is then written into the grey interval too, with the lower and upper bound as the same number, giving zero width.
The same exit condition as crisp EDAS applies: if no compromise is acceptable on one criterion, this extension too is compensatory and will not eliminate anything below a threshold; if most alternatives sit very close to the average on a criterion, that criterion's discriminating power is weak here as well.
Mistakes Specific to This Extension
Using the midpoint of the bound as a most-likely value. Treating the midpoint of the interval as an "expected value" and reducing the calculation to a single number turns Grey-EDAS back into crisp EDAS; the information inside the bounds simply does not exist, and it cannot be invented.
Skipping the cross comparison. Comparing an alternative's lower bound only with the average's lower bound, and its upper bound only with the average's upper bound, that is, comparing without crossing, fails to account for the most pessimistic and most optimistic ends. The paper's cross rule in Eqs. 23–24 is essential here.
Opening a measured value into an interval without justification. Building bounds by adding a percentage around a measured value (e.g., turning 320 into [310,330]) means that if the bounds have no source, there is no grey data either.
Changing the whitenisation method and comparing the result with crisp EDAS. DecisionMind uses (lower+upper)/2 for whitenisation in this extension; a different whitenisation rule can give a different ranking, and which rule was used should be stated in the report before any comparison.
The governing principle is this:
In Grey-EDAS every bound comes from its own source; no most-likely value or distribution that is not actually available may be added into the bounds afterwards, and the final average of the four bounds is only the defuzzification step.
Cases
The first case is a literature case. The figures are taken from the supplier-selection example in the founding paper of Stanujkic, Zavadskas, Keshavarz Ghorabaee and Turskis (2017), and DecisionMind's engine produces the same result. The second case is an illustrative fiction.
1. Supplier selection: Five suppliers, four criteria (Stanujkic et al., 2017)
In the founding paper, a firm evaluates five suppliers (A1–A5) on four criteria: technical capacity (C1, more is better), financial capacity (C2, more is better), integrated capacity (C3, more is better) and delivery time (C4, less is better). Criterion values are given as grey intervals, because the assessment consists of the lower and upper bound of expert opinion.
| Supplier | C1 | C2 | C3 | C4 (cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A1 | [64, 85] | [50, 55] | [60, 80] | [75, 80] |
| A2 | [57, 81] | [52, 56] | [62, 76] | [70, 75] |
| A3 | [61, 78] | [55, 58] | [53, 61] | [70, 75] |
| A4 | [59, 93] | [54, 62] | [55, 72] | [80, 90] |
| A5 | [63, 89] | [61, 68] | [54, 63] | [65, 78] |
| Direction | more is better | more is better | more is better | less is better |
| Weight | 0.15 | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.25 |
The method finds each criterion's grey average, that is, the separate average of the lower bounds and of the upper bounds. It cross-compares each supplier's lower and upper bound against this average to measure the positive and negative deviation. It multiplies the deviations by the weights, sums, normalises, and descends to a single appraisal score by averaging the four bounds.
| Supplier | Appraisal score | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| A5 | 0.449 | 1 |
| A2 | 0.480 | 2 |
| A1 | 0.449 | 3 |
| A4 | 0.438 | 4 |
| A3 | 0.436 | 5 |
The result reads as follows. A5 takes first place because it lies clearly above the average on financial capacity (C2, weight 0.40), the most heavily weighted criterion. A3 is last because it is the closest of all four suppliers to the average on all four criteria. The gap between A1 and A3 (0.449 − 0.436 = 0.013) is small and should not be interpreted without regard to the grey (interval) nature of the data.
The firm's hesitation: if A4's delivery time C4=[80,90] worsened to [85,100] (the supplier reporting delivery risk anew), A4 would drop to last place and A3 would rise to fourth. The order between A3 and A4 reverses. This shows how sensitive the ranking of the two lowest suppliers is to a single criterion (delivery time).
In the report: "With the given weights (C2=0.40, most heavily weighted), A5 is in the most advantageous position relative to the set's average (0.615); the gap between A1 and A3 is small (0.013), and if A4's delivery time worsens the A3–A4 order reverses, so delivery-time estimates should be verified separately."
Source: Stanujkic, D., Zavadskas, E. K., Keshavarz Ghorabaee, M., & Turskis, Z. (2017). Studies in Informatics and Control, 26(1), Table 5, p. 9. The appraisal scores were independently recomputed by DecisionMind's engine and matched the paper's S_i values (tolerance 0.001).
2. Energy: A municipality's site selection for a solar power plant
A municipality will choose among three sites for a new solar power plant. Criteria: estimated annual sunshine duration (more is better), grid connection distance (less is better), expropriation cost (less is better) and terrain slope (less is better). The municipality's technical team can give these values only as a lower and upper bound, from past regional data and a preliminary survey, since the site study has not yet been completed.
The method finds the average of the three sites' grey intervals across the four criteria. It computes each site's cross deviation from these averages, weights and sums it, normalises, and merges it into a single appraisal score. Suppose the site that is clearly above average on sunshine duration, but stays above the average (unfavourably) on grid distance, still comes out first, because sunshine duration was given a higher weight than grid distance.
The municipality's hesitation: choosing a site with a long grid connection distance may later add an unforeseen infrastructure cost to the project; this risk does not show up inside the EDAS score, because the weight given to grid distance was kept low. If the budget is fixed, the municipality should not decide on score alone without setting an upper-bound (pre-screening) limit on grid distance.
In the report: "With the high weight given to sunshine duration, the most efficient site stands out relative to the set's average; since the weight of grid distance was kept low, this criterion's effect on the ranking is limited, and if the budget is fixed a separate grid-distance threshold is recommended."
3. What Not to Do
The first error, in the supplier example, is reducing C2's interval ([50,55], say) to a single number by taking its midpoint (52.5) as "expected financial capacity" and running crisp EDAS. The ranking often comes out similar, but the uncertainty information carried by the bounds is lost; for instance, the fact that A4's C1 has a wide interval like [59,93] disappears from view, and the report claims a precision that does not exist. The second error is skipping the cross comparison and comparing a supplier's lower bound directly with the average's lower bound; this fails to account for the most pessimistic case and departs from the paper's definition. The third error is adding a sixth supplier after the analysis is finished; this shifts the grey average of all four criteria, and the scores among the first five can change as well.
Sources
For the formulas behind each step, the intermediate tables and citation formats, see the DecisionMind method page: decisionmind.app/library/grey-edas
Stanujkic, D., Zavadskas, E. K., Keshavarz Ghorabaee, M., & Turskis, Z. (2017). An extension of the EDAS method based on the use of interval grey numbers. Studies in Informatics and Control, 26(1), 5–12. DOI: 10.24846/v26i1y201701
Keshavarz Ghorabaee, M., Zavadskas, E. K., Olfat, L., & Turskis, Z. (2015). Multi-criteria inventory classification using a new method of evaluation based on distance from average solution (EDAS). Informatica, 26(3), 435–451. DOI: 10.15388/Informatica.2015.57
Deng, J. L. (1982). Control problems of grey systems. Systems & Control Letters, 1(5), 288–294. DOI: 10.1016/S0167-6911(82)80025-X
Liu, S., & Lin, Y. (2011). Grey Systems: Theory and Applications. Understanding Complex Systems. Springer. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-16158-2