Extension card · Grey
Grey WASPAS
Grey WASPAS is the form of WASPAS used when criterion values are known only by a lower and upper bound. It reduces the bounds to a single midpoint value, then computes the sum and product components on that midpoint exactly as crisp WASPAS does.
Base method
WASPAS →
Philosophy, mechanics, strengths and weaknesses are on the base method card; this card describes only the difference.
Data type (family)
Grey →
What this data type is, when to use it, how to write it in a cell: the family's full account is here.
What Changes from the Base Method?
Several things change, but the logic of blending sum and product stays the same.
Cells. In crisp WASPAS every cell is a single number. Here every cell is a grey number: only a lower and upper bound (⊗[lower, upper]). No most-likely value or distribution is claimed within the bounds. Weights remain crisp; grey data is used only in the decision-matrix cells.
Whitenisation (early defuzzification). Unlike the other WASPAS extensions (Fuzzy, IF, N), Grey WASPAS consumes uncertainty right at the start, before scale equalisation is even performed: every grey number is reduced to a single number by averaging its lower and upper bound (whitenisation). This should not be confused with the mistake the Grey data-type card warns against, that of taking the midpoint of a grey number as a most-likely value. Here the midpoint is not a claim about likelihood, it is only a step in the calculation, and DecisionMind marks it in the report as a distinct step. But its practical consequence is this: the width of the bounds, that is, the size of the uncertainty, plays no part in any calculation after whitenisation. Only the midpoint's position enters the calculation.
Scale equalisation, sum and product. Once the whitened midpoints are obtained, everything else is identical to crisp WASPAS: for a benefit criterion the column is divided by its largest value, for a cost criterion the column's smallest value is turned into the ratio; the weighted sum (WSM) is the weighted sum of these ratios, and the weighted product (WPM) is the product of the ratios raised to the power of the weight.
Result. The combined score blends the sum and product component with λ. Unlike Fuzzy WASPAS, λ is not computed adaptively here; crisp WASPAS's default value of 0.5 is held fixed. This is not currently offered as a user parameter; anyone wishing to change it would need to make a change at the kernel level.
DecisionMind holds whitenisation fixed as the first step in Grey WASPAS; scale equalisation, the sum and the product are crisp WASPAS's own formulas and operate on the whitened midpoints.
How to Read the Output
The output is a combined score and a ranking, as in crisp WASPAS, and it is read the same way: it is not a percentage or a probability, and scale equalisation changes, and the ranking can shift, whenever the alternative set changes.
The difference is this. The score reflects only the midpoint of the bounds, not their width. If the score gap between two alternatives is small, and that gap is small relative to the width of the bounds, that is, relative to the actual gap in information, the gap itself is not solid evidence. The report should show which criterion's bounds the gap is sensitive to.
Thus instead of writing:
"According to Grey WASPAS, A2 is definitively the best alternative"
the report should read:
"A2's combined score, computed from the midpoint of its bounds, is the highest; because the width of the bounds does not enter the calculation, the robustness of this advantage has been separately tested by checking whether the ranking changes when the criterion bounds are narrowed and widened"
When to Prefer This over the Base Method
Use this when only a lower and an upper bound are known about criterion values, with no information on which value within those bounds is more likely. It suits new-project or new-market assessments made with little data, and cases where a supplier quotes "at least–at most" figures. If a most-likely point within the bounds is known, that information is lost by moving to the grey structure; the fuzzy structure is more suitable. If a value has been measured, use the base method instead.
WASPAS's exit condition applies just as it does elsewhere: it is compensatory and unsuitable where no compromise is acceptable on one criterion; if weights rather than a ranking are needed, look to methods such as AHP, BWM, CRITIC or Entropy.
Mistakes Specific to This Extension
Violating the grey-number constraint (lower ≤ upper). If the lower bound is entered larger than the upper bound, whitenisation and every subsequent step return a meaningless result.
Mistaking whitenisation for a most-likely value. The midpoint, as the Grey data-type card warns, is not a claim about a "most-likely value" within the bounds; it is only the calculation step this family has chosen. It should not be presented in the report as "most likely".
Ignoring width and interpreting only the midpoint. After whitenisation, the score hides the width gap between two alternatives. A wide-bound alternative and a narrow-bound alternative sharing the same midpoint are not equally reliable; the report should state this separately.
Fabricating the source of the bounds. Building a grey bound by adding a percentage to a measured value, the core warning of the Grey data-type card, applies here too; bounds must come from a contract, a past record or expert testimony.
Changing λ without justification. In this family λ is fixed at 0.5. If the WSM and WPM components suggest different rankings on their own, this signals that the combined score is fragile, and keeping λ fixed at 0.5 needs separate justification.
The governing principle is this:
Whitenisation carries only the position of the bounds, not their width; when an alternative's advantage is reported in this extension, whether the ranking changes as the bounds are narrowed and widened must be shown separately.
Cases
The first case is DecisionMind's validation example: since no single grey-WASPAS application table is widely accepted in the literature, a synthetic grey interval table was built so the formulas could be followed by hand. The second case is an illustrative fiction.
1. Illustrative example (DecisionMind's validation example): Choosing an equipment supplier for a new solar power plant
An energy company is choosing among three panel suppliers, none of them yet field-tested. Three criteria: efficiency ratio, warranty-period score and unit-cost index (the last being "less is better"). Because new market entrants have a short performance record, every criterion is given only as a lower and upper bound (a grey number).
| Supplier | Efficiency | Warranty score | Unit cost |
|---|---|---|---|
| A1 | ⊗[0.65; 0.75] | ⊗[0.45; 0.55] | ⊗[0.55; 0.65] |
| A2 | ⊗[0.75; 0.85] | ⊗[0.55; 0.65] | ⊗[0.35; 0.45] |
| A3 | ⊗[0.55; 0.65] | ⊗[0.65; 0.75] | ⊗[0.45; 0.55] |
| Direction | more is better | more is better | less is better |
| Weight | 0.40 | 0.35 | 0.25 |
The method first whitens every grey number by averaging its bounds, then equalises these midpoints exactly as crisp WASPAS does. It then computes the weighted sum and weighted product components and blends the two with λ=0.5.
| Supplier | Combined score | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| A2 | 0.949 | 1 |
| A3 | 0.846 | 2 |
| A1 | 0.764 | 3 |
The result reads as follows. A2 holds both the highest lower and the highest upper bound on efficiency, the most heavily weighted criterion. It also holds the lowest, that is the best, bounds on unit cost; these two advantages together put its combined score clearly ahead. A1 is at the upper end of no criterion's bounds and comes last.
A question arises here: if the two most heavily weighted criteria swapped weights, that is, efficiency 0.40 and warranty score 0.35 exchanged places, would the ranking change? Independently re-running the same algorithm in Python, A2 (0.942) still finishes first, A3 (0.859) still second and A1 (0.756) still last. Even if A3's warranty-score bound were widened to ⊗[0.65; 0.85], or A2's efficiency bound narrowed to ⊗[0.70; 0.75], the ranking does not change. This advantage rests on the overall pattern rather than the exact position of the bounds.
In the report: "Computed from the average of the bounds, the combined score places A2 highest (0.949); this result is robust to a weight swap and to reasonable narrowing or widening of the criterion bounds."
Source: This case is DecisionMind's validation example for the Grey WASPAS engine; since no single canonical grey-WASPAS application table specific to this family is shared in the literature, the grey interval matrix was built as a synthetic example, faithful to the manifest's F-formulas (whitenisation plus WSM/WPM, λ=0.5), and worked by hand. The combined scores and sensitivity scenarios were independently recomputed by this card's author.
2. Logistics: Choosing a new warehouse automation system
A distribution company is evaluating three automation-system proposals for its warehouse. Criteria: hourly processing capacity, installation time (this is "less is better") and fault-frequency index (also "less is better"). Since the systems have not yet operated on site, suppliers have quoted every criterion as a "worst case–best case" range, and the company has not requested a most-likely value.
The method whitens the three proposals, equalises them, builds the sum and product components and blends them with λ=0.5. Suppose the highest-capacity proposal also has the longest installation time, and still comes out first in the combined score, because it also holds the best bounds on fault frequency. The shortest-installation proposal comes second, and the medium-capacity but most fault-prone proposal comes third.
The company's hesitation is this: if the first proposal's installation-time bound were narrowed and improved (the supplier offering an extra guarantee), would its lead over the second proposal widen further? Or would the ranking reverse if its fault-frequency bound worsened? Which end of the bounds is carrying the result should be tested separately, and the report should show this.
In the report: "Based on the average of the bounds, the highest-capacity proposal comes out ahead; however, whether the ranking changes if this proposal's fault-frequency bound worsens should be tested separately, and the company should base its decision not only on the midpoint but also on the width of the bounds."
3. What Not to Do
Reducing A2's efficiency bound of ⊗[0.75; 0.85] to a single number by calling it "most likely 0.80" and entering the data that way in the illustrative example: this assumes information a grey number does not carry (a most-likely value), and confuses it with the fuzzy structure. The second error is equalising a "less is better" criterion such as unit cost by dividing by the column's largest value, as though it were a benefit criterion; this direction error rewards the most expensive supplier. The third error is reporting A2's score of 0.949 as "95 per cent suitable"; the score only ranks these three suppliers against one another and does not reflect the width of the bounds.
Sources
For the formulas behind each step, the intermediate tables and citation formats, see the DecisionMind method page: decisionmind.app/library/grey-waspas
Zavadskas, E. K., Turskis, Z., Antuchevičienė, J., & Zakarevičius, A. (2012). Optimization of weighted aggregated sum product assessment. Elektronika ir Elektrotechnika, 122(6), 3–6. DOI: 10.5755/j01.eee.122.6.1810
Deng, J. L. (1982). Control problems of grey systems. Systems & Control Letters, 1(5), 288–294. DOI: 10.1016/S0167-6911(82)80025-X
Liu, S., & Lin, Y. (2011). Grey Systems: Theory and Applications. Understanding Complex Systems. Springer. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-16158-2
Zavadskas, E. K., Kaklauskas, A., Turskis, Z., & Tamošaitienė, J. (2009). Multi-attribute decision-making model by applying grey numbers. Informatica, 20(2), 305–320. DOI: 10.15388/informatica.2009.252