Extension card · Rough
Rough MARCOS (Matić, Marinković, Jovanović, Sremac & Stević, 2022)
This is the form of MARCOS that works with rough numbers for situations where criterion scores come from a group assessment by several experts and the disagreement between them needs to be preserved. It carries the ideal and anti-ideal references as rough intervals, and still gives the result as a single final degree of utility.
Base method
MARCOS →
Philosophy, mechanics, strengths and weaknesses are on the base method card; this card describes only the difference.
Data type (family)
Rough →
What this data type is, when to use it, how to write it in a cell: the family's full account is here.
What Changes from the Base Method?
Four things change; the decision logic does not.
Cells. In crisp MARCOS every cell is a single number. Here every cell is a rough number: a lower and an upper bound, calculated from the group's crisp scores. In this extension, weights enter MARCOS's own calculation as crisp numbers even when derived one step upstream by a rough method (D-SWARA, for instance); bound information is carried only in the decision matrix and in the ideal/anti-ideal references.
Scale equalisation. Crisp MARCOS relates every cell to the criterion's ideal value. In rough MARCOS the ideal and anti-ideal reference are first built, column by column, from the crisp best and worst end observed for each criterion; these ends come not from a single alternative but from the best/worst bound across all alternatives on that criterion. Every cell is then related to this reference in rough form: lower bound against lower bound, upper bound against upper bound.
Weighting and row sum. The scale-equalised rough table is multiplied by the weight; because the weight is crisp, this multiplication scales the lower and upper bound by the same factor. Each alternative's row is summed, and this sum remains a rough interval; unlike in crisp MARCOS, a single number is not yet reached at this point.
Result and defuzzification. In crisp MARCOS the utility ratios are directly single numbers. In rough MARCOS the ratios to the ideal and the anti-ideal are first divided within the rough interval, and only after that are they reduced to a single number (defuzzified Y+ and Y-). The utility functions and the final degree of utility are built from these defuzzified numbers. DecisionMind performs the division before defuzzification in this extension; this order gives a result that is generally very close to, but for some alternative pairs sensitive enough to change the ranking from, dividing after defuzzifying.
How to Read the Output
The final degree of utility is read exactly as in base MARCOS: a higher value is better, it is not compared with a different analysis, and the ideal and anti-ideal references change when the alternative set changes.
The difference is here: beneath the degree of utility now lies the group's own disagreement. Two very close degrees can, as in base MARCOS, be sensitive to the weights, but here they can also be sensitive to whether the rough division was performed before or after defuzzification. This sensitivity matters especially when the gap between the top two or three alternatives is on the order of a few parts per thousand.
Thus instead of writing:
"According to rough MARCOS, the best alternative is A11"
the report should read:
"With these weights A11 has the highest final degree of utility (0.7314); the gap with A4 (0.0052) is small, and this gap is sensitive both to the weight distribution and to the order of defuzzification"
When to Prefer This over the Base Method
Use this extension when several experts or sources score the same criterion and the disagreement within the group itself matters to the decision. Where there is a single expert or a single measurement, a rough number cannot be built; base MARCOS is used. Where bounds are not calculated but given directly as "at least, at most", this is a grey number, not a rough number. The base method's exit condition applies exactly: if no compromise is acceptable on one criterion, no member of the MARCOS family provides that; and with a very small alternative set, the ideal and anti-ideal references remain, here too, sensitive to the alternatives themselves.
Mistakes Specific to This Extension
Violating the bound constraint. In no cell may the lower bound exceed the upper bound; if it does, the ideal/anti-ideal reference and the scale equalisation become meaningless.
Changing the order of defuzzification and expecting the same result. Dividing within the rough interval and then defuzzifying, versus defuzzifying first and then dividing, give results close to one another for most alternative pairs but can reverse the ranking for pairs with a narrow gap at the top; which order was used should be stated in the report.
Entering the bounds by hand rather than from the group's scores. Inventing a bound around a single expert's score is not a rough number; it violates the basic principle set out on the data-type card.
Reading a gap of a few parts per thousand as a definite advantage. If the gap between the top two places is sensitive to both the weights and the defuzzification order, the report should describe first and second place as "practically close" rather than declaring a single winner.
The governing principle is this:
A rough MARCOS result is a summary of the ideal and anti-ideal references after they have been defuzzified from a rough interval; narrow gaps at the top are sensitive both to the weights and to the order of defuzzification, and the report must show this.
Cases
The first case is taken from a published construction-machinery selection assessment by Matić, Marinković, Jovanović, Sremac and Stević (2022). The second case is illustrative fiction.
1. Engineering: Choosing an asphalt paver for road construction (Matić, Marinković, Jovanović, Sremac & Stević, 2022)
A road-construction firm is comparing twelve asphalt-paver models on sixteen technical specifications; all sixteen specifications are of the "higher is better" type (performance measures such as productivity, fuel efficiency, working width). The specifications have been converted into rough numbers from four experts' scores; the weights come from a separate rough SWARA step, defuzzified to crisp numbers. Four of the sixteen specifications are shown below as examples.
| Model | Spec 1 | Spec 4 | Spec 9 | Spec 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A1 | [6.00; 7.52] | [5.65; 6.90] | [5.65; 6.90] | [7.00; 7.00] |
| A3 | [8.13; 8.88] | [8.13; 8.88] | [6.23; 8.19] | [6.27; 7.25] |
| A4 | [8.13; 8.88] | [7.75; 8.73] | [8.25; 8.75] | [6.27; 7.25] |
| A11 | [6.75; 8.25] | [7.75; 8.73] | [8.25; 8.75] | [4.71; 6.38] |
| A12 | [5.75; 7.25] | [7.75; 8.73] | [7.27; 8.25] | [4.71; 6.38] |
| Weight | 0.095 | 0.047 | 0.098 | 0.037 |
The method builds, for every specification, a rough ideal and anti-ideal reference from the crisp best and worst ends observed across the twelve models, relates every cell to this reference in rough form, multiplies by the weights, sums each row, and defuzzifies the ratios to the ideal and anti-ideal to compute the final degree of utility.
| Model | Final degree of utility | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| A11 | 0.7314 | 1 |
| A4 | 0.7262 | 2 |
| A3 | 0.7161 | 3 |
| A12 | 0.7103 | 4 |
| A8 | 0.7079 | 5 |
| A9 | 0.7042 | 6 |
| A10 | 0.7042 | 6 |
| A7 | 0.6973 | 8 |
| A2 | 0.6782 | 9 |
| A5 | 0.6648 | 10 |
| A6 | 0.6641 | 11 |
| A1 | 0.6390 | 12 |
The result reads as follows. A11 and A4 sit at the top of the twelve models, with a gap between them of only 0.0052; A9 and A10 come out exactly tied. The paper's own table reverses this pair, placing A4 first and A11 second, though there too the gap is only around 0.005. This is a real example showing that two different but equally defensible defuzzification orders (dividing within the rough interval and then defuzzifying, or defuzzifying first and then dividing) can switch the ranking at a gap this narrow.
The firm's hesitation: if the weight of Spec 9 (0.098) and the weight of Spec 15 (0.037) were swapped, A4 (0.7225) overtakes A11 (0.7202), and the gap again stays at only a few parts per thousand. This shows how sensitive the top ranking is both to the order of defuzzification and to the weight distribution.
In the report: "A11 and A4's final degrees of utility are practically equal (0.7314 and 0.7262); this gap is sensitive to both the order of defuzzification and the weights, so the two models should be shortlisted together."
Source: Matić, Marinković, Jovanović, Sremac and Stević (2022), Table 9 (weights) and Table 11 (decision matrix, group aggregation from four experts). The scores and ranking here are the result independently recomputed by DecisionMind's engine with this data.
2. Public transport: Choosing a new bus model for a city fleet
A public-transport operator will choose among three bus models to renew its fleet. The criteria are passenger capacity, fuel/energy efficiency, maintenance cost (lower is better) and an accessibility score (wheelchair and pram suitability). The fleet manager, the maintenance-workshop head and an accessibility consultant scored the models separately; because the three experts' views on the accessibility score came out distinctly different, this criterion has been converted into a rough number.
The method computes the three models' rough ratios to the ideal and anti-ideal reference, defuzzifies them, and builds the final degree of utility. Suppose the model with the highest passenger capacity also has the highest maintenance cost, and it still comes first, because capacity is the most heavily weighted criterion.
The operator's hesitation: the wide expert disagreement on the accessibility score leaves the top-ranked model's true performance on this criterion uncertain. If the gap with the second-ranked model is small, the operator should not treat the accessibility consultant's score as the sole deciding factor, and should verify it with a field test.
In the report: "With the high weight given to passenger capacity, the highest-capacity model reaches the highest final degree of utility; because of the wide expert disagreement on the accessibility score, a separate field test is recommended for this criterion."
3. What Not to Do
Had one of the specifications been mistakenly marked "lower is better" in the illustrative table, the weakest model on that specification would have been included in the ideal reference, and the ranking would become meaningless. The second error is seeing the 0.0052 gap between A11 and A4 and reporting "A11 is definitely better"; this gap is sensitive to both the weights and the order of defuzzification and is not enough on its own to declare a single winner. The third error is averaging the four experts' scores first and then running crisp MARCOS; this erases the fine gap between the top models and can produce a new and different ranking.
Sources
For the formulas behind each step, the intermediate tables and citation formats, see the DecisionMind method page: decisionmind.app/library/rough-marcos
Matić, B., Marinković, M., Jovanović, S., Sremac, S., & Stević, Ž. (2022). Intelligent novel IMF D-SWARA—Rough MARCOS algorithm for selection construction machinery for sustainable construction of road infrastructure. Buildings, 12(7), 1059. DOI: 10.3390/buildings12071059
Pawlak, Z. (1982). Rough sets. International Journal of Computer & Information Sciences, 11(5), 341–356. DOI: 10.1007/BF01001956
Stević, Ž., Pamučar, D., Puška, A., & Chatterjee, P. (2020). Sustainable supplier selection in healthcare industries using a new MCDM method: Measurement of Alternatives and Ranking according to Compromise Solution (MARCOS). Computers & Industrial Engineering, 140, 106231. DOI: 10.1016/j.cie.2019.106231